Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 29
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (283/389) | 69% (266/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (283/389) | 69% (266/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (29/74) | 32% (26/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (48/101) | 57% (78/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, N'Lundulu D. ⚽, Mandron M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Danso E. 🟨,
- 60', Danso E. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
- 60', Smith L. ↓, McKay B. ↑,
- 69', Muirhead R. ↓, Nouble J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Kabongolo B. ⚽, McKay B. (A),
- 82', Baccus K. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
- 82', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
- 84', Fraser M. 🟨,
- 86', Pittman S. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
- 90+3', Phillips K. ↓, Young J. ↑,
- 90+3', Richardson J. ↓, King R. ↑,
- 90+5', Mandron M. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
- 90+6', Mandron M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Livingston
27.4% | Draw
27.1% | St. Mirren
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Livingston - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(3.09) |
3.47 ↑
(3.32) |
2.09 ↓
(2.22) |
6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Livingston - St. Mirren?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 1 - 25%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 1.
- Livingston is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- St. Mirren has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- St. Mirren will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Livingston: Arfield S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lawal S.
(Inactive)
McLennan C.
(Ankle Injury)
Montano C.
(Red Card)
Zimmerman J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Tendon Injury)
Dijksteel M.
(Inactive)
King R.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Livingston: Finlayson D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against St. Mirren?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Livingston?
St. Mirren has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livingston - St. Mirren were as follows:
20.01.2026
Livingston
-
St. Mirren
1:1
17.01.2026
Livingston
-
St. Mirren
1:2
20.12.2025
St. Mirren
-
Livingston
1:0
17.02.2024
Livingston
-
St. Mirren
1:0
25.11.2023
St. Mirren
-
Livingston
1:0
Latest results of Livingston
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 52:24 | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 47:18 | 29 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 34:45 | -11 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 28:39 | -11 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 28 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22:43 | -21 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
