Nicolas Mejia vs Marek Gengel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Istanbul Challenger Men Nicolas Mejia - Marek Gengel
Result
2:1
03/09/2025 at 03:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
95
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
53%69%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (32/48)63% (46/73)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (24/42)33% (11/33)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)62% (8/13)
1st Return Points Won
37% (27/73)38% (18/48)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (22/33)43% (18/42)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
62% (55/89)54% (57/106)
Return Points Won
46% (49/106)38% (34/89)
Total Points Won
53% (104/195)47% (91/195)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Mejia
64.5%
Marek Gengel
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.
  • Marek Gengel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marek Gengel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marek Gengel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nicolas Mejia - Marek Gengel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.62)

    2.64
    (2.15)
    6.7%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mejia is ranked ATP: 246. Gengel is ranked ATP: 251.
    • Mejia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gengel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gengel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
    02.09.2025 Ilya Ivashka - Nicolas Mejia Ivashka I. retired
    12.08.2025 Nicolas Mejia - Adhithya Ganesan Ganesan A. retired
    Latest results of Marek Gengel
    12.08.2025 Ioannis Xilas - Marek Gengel Gengel M. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Klein L. (1)Purtseladze S.2 : 0
    2Krajci M. (Q)Karol M. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Ivashka I. (RET.) (PR)Mejia N.0 : 1
    4Gengel M.Hassan B. (8)2 : 1
    5Pacheco Mendez R. (9)Gombos N.1 : 2
    6Kirci K. (WC)Potenza L. (Q)0 : 2
    7Arinc K. (WC)Turker M. N. (WC)0 : 2
    8Makk P. (Q)Hemery C. (6)0 : 2
    9Echargui M. (5)Shelbayh A.0 : 2
    10Rosenkranz M. (Alt)Durasovic V.0 : 2
    11Nedelko I. (RET.) (Q)Molcan A. (Alt)0 : 1
    12Ursu V. (Q)Landaluce M. (3)0 : 2
    13Grenier H. (7)Hernandez A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Huesler M.Gray A. (Alt)1 : 2
    15Sakellaridis S.Langmo C.2 : 1
    16Kotov P.Virtanen O. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Klein L. (1)Karol M.1 : 2
    2Mejia N.Gengel M.2 : 1
    3Gombos N.Potenza L.0 : 2
    4Turker M. N.Hemery C. (6)1 : 2
    5Shelbayh A.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    6Molcan A.Landaluce M. (3)2 : 0
    7Grenier H. (7)Gray A.2 : 1
    8Sakellaridis S.Virtanen O. (RET.) (2)1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Karol M.Mejia N.0 : 2
    2Potenza L.Hemery C. (6)2 : 0
    3Shelbayh A.Molcan A.1 : 2
    4Grenier H. (7)Sakellaridis S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mejia N.Potenza L.2 : 0
    2Molcan A.Sakellaridis S.2 : 0

    Final
    1Mejia N.Molcan A.0 : 2