Sofia Shapatava vs Alice Tubello – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W50 Saint Palais Sur Mer Women Sofia Shapatava - Alice Tubello
Result
0:2
03/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Sofia Shapatava
30.1%
Alice Tubello
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofia Shapatava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Shapatava's form might have worsened.
  • Alice Tubello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alice Tubello's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Shapatava than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Shapatava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alice Tubello, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sofia Shapatava - Alice Tubello Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.24)

    1.33
    (1.59)
    8%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Shapatava is ranked WTA: 424. Tubello is ranked WTA: 712.
    • Recent performances by Shapatava have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tubello is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Shapatava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Tubello is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Tubello will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alice Tubello
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Mikulskyte J. (1)Lollia M.2 : 0
    2Lim A.Chiesa E.2 : 0
    3Cakarevic S.Monnot A.1 : 2
    4Mattel M.Buyukakcay C. (8)0 : 2
    5Avdeeva J. (4)Kazionova E.2 : 1
    6Seibold E.Mintegi Del Olmo A.2 : 1
    7Cirotte A.Kabbaj Y.0 : 2
    8Otzipka J.Tikhonova A. (7)0 : 2
    9Rouvroy M. (5)Lemaitre T.2 : 0
    10Shapatava S.Tubello A.0 : 2
    11Iliev S.Podrez V.2 : 0
    12Schmidt A.Ambrosio S. (3)1 : 2
    13Diaz Adrover C.Gavrila O.2 : 0
    14Szostak M.Urgesi F.2 : 1
    15Hennemann C. W.Kaibekova P.2 : 1
    16Tran D.Kalieva E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Mikulskyte J. (1)Lim A.2 : 0
    2Monnot A. (RET.)Buyukakcay C. (8)0 : 1
    3Avdeeva J. (4)Seibold E.2 : 0
    4Kabbaj Y.Tikhonova A. (7)0 : 2
    5Rouvroy M. (5)Tubello A.0 : 2
    6Iliev S.Ambrosio S. (3)0 : 2
    7Diaz Adrover C.Szostak M.0 : 2
    8Hennemann C. W.Kalieva E. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Mikulskyte J. (1)Buyukakcay C. (8)2 : 1
    2Avdeeva J. (4)Tikhonova A. (7)2 : 1
    3Tubello A.Ambrosio S. (3)2 : 0
    4Szostak M.Hennemann C. W.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mikulskyte J. (1)Avdeeva J. (4)0 : 2
    2Tubello A.Hennemann C. W.2 : 0

    Final
    1Avdeeva J. (4)Tubello A.0 : 2