Lipno Stęszew vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group II Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Result
0:2
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Szczutowski A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 81', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Lipno Stęszew
51.8%
Draw
21.9%
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 21.5% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 20.5% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lipno Stęszew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.6)
    4.25
    (4.2)
    3.53
    (4.1)
    7.7%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Lipno Stęszew has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tłuchowia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tłuchowia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lipno Stęszew is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza972026:71923
    2Cartusia Kartuzy971121:81322
    3Swinoujscie962117:71020
    4Luzino953123:121118
    5Sroda953116:11518
    6Blekitni Stargard952222:14817
    7Lech Poznan II951328:171116
    8Elana Torun942319:15414
    9Unia Swarzedz933312:13-112
    10Pogon Szczecin II931515:22-710
    11Kluczevia Stargard923413:14-19
    12Notec Czarnkow92258:13-58
    13Lipno Steszew922512:20-88
    14Nowe Skalmierzyce92255:14-98
    15Wda Swiecie92257:22-158
    16Wrzesnia92079:17-86
    17Tluchowo91265:16-115
    18Rewal91173:19-164

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation