Lipno Stęszew vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Szczutowski A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 81', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Lipno Stęszew
51.8%
Draw
21.9%
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 21.5% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 20.5% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lipno Stęszew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.6)
    4.25
    (4.2)
    3.53
    (4.1)
    7.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Lipno Stęszew has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tłuchowia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tłuchowia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lipno Stęszew is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza21144347:163146
    2Luzino22143549:272245
    3Sroda21143444:281645
    4Elana Torun22134535:251043
    5Lech Poznan II22113846:311536
    6Swinoujscie20104628:20834
    7Cartusia Kartuzy21111932:29334
    8Kluczevia Stargard2295834:26832
    9Blekitni Stargard2295837:32532
    10Lipno Steszew2294929:35-631
    11Wda Swiecie2294924:37-1331
    12Notec Czarnkow2185830:29129
    13Nowe Skalmierzyce22571019:33-1422
    14Unia Swarzedz22561121:30-921
    15Pogon Szczecin II22631340:51-1121
    16Wrzesnia21511520:32-1216
    17Tluchowo21441317:39-2216
    18Rewal22341510:42-3213

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation