Result
2:1
04/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (47/60) | 70% (45/64) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 54% (13/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 67% (4/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (19/64) | 22% (13/60) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 48% (12/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 25% (1/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (60/85) | 66% (58/88) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (30/88) | 29% (25/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (90/173) | 48% (83/173) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 7% (1/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 46% (13/28) |
Chances of winning
Dusan Lajovic
45.2% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dusan Lajovic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Carreno-Busta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.09) |
|
1.7 ↑
(1.63) |
7%
(9.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lajovic: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dusan Lajovic will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Lajovic is ranked ATP: 128. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 137.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lajovic won 2.
- Lajovic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Carreno Busta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lajovic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dusan Lajovic won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Dusan Lajovic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Dusan Lajovic?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
Latest results of Dusan Lajovic
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (1) | Olivieri G. A. | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Martin Tiffon P. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Forejtek J. (Q) | Giustino L. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ramos A. | Gaubas V. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Lajovic D. (4) | Ymer E. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Strombachs R. (Q) | Ferreira Silva F. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Bueno G. | Barranco Cosano J. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Barrios Vera T. (5) | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Lopez Montagud C. (Q) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Merida Aguilar D. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Alvarez Varona N. | Faria J. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Buse I. (6) | Zapata Miralles B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Diaz Acosta F. | Llamas Ruiz P. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Den Ouden G. | Kellovsky D. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Martinez A. (Q) | Taberner C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Olivieri G. A. | Rocha H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Forejtek J. | Gaubas V. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Lajovic D. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Barranco Cosano J. | Carreno-Busta P. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Jorda Sanchis D. | Lopez Montagud C. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Merida Aguilar D. | Faria J. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Buse I. (6) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Den Ouden G. (RET.) | Taberner C. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Olivieri G. A. | Gaubas V. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lajovic D. (4) | Carreno-Busta P. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Jorda Sanchis D. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Buse I. (6) | Taberner C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Olivieri G. A. | Lajovic D. (RET.) (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Merida Aguilar D. | Buse I. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Olivieri G. A. | Buse I. (6) | 1 : 2 |
