Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 17
- Referee: Colelli A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (192/311) | 53% (115/218) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (192/311) | 53% (115/218) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (35/76) | 28% (21/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (71/129) | 49% (39/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Breitner S. 🟨,
- 13', Martins C. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Missipo K. ⚽, Fercocq H. (A),
- 21', Venturelli C. 🟨,
- 35', Philtjens D. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Pirone V. ⚽,
- 39', Doms M. 🟨,
- 42', Ciccotti C. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 45+4', Skupien K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Venturelli C. ↓, Nash J. J. ↑,
- 61', Breitner S. ↓, Petrara M. ↑,
- 61', Di Giammarino V. ↓, Pastrenge L. ↑,
- 81', Dhont E. ↓, Sabatino D. ↑,
- 90', Martins C. ↓, Ripamonti C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ternana
37.8% | Draw
26.4% | Sassuolo
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Ternana - Sassuolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.6) |
3.48 ↑
(3.18) |
2.57 ↑
(2.43) |
8.9%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 10)
- Recent performances by Ternana have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sassuolo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Sassuolo?
Ternana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Ternana?
Sassuolo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Sassuolo were as follows:
15.11.2025
Sassuolo
-
Ternana
0:1
07.09.2025
Sassuolo
-
Ternana
1:1
Latest results of Ternana
Latest results of Sassuolo
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Inter W | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Lazio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Napoli W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Como W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Ternana W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:32 | -16 | 13 |
| 10 | Sassuolo W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 11 | Parma W | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:32 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
