Rotlet Molinar vs Peña Deportiva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 0 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Rotlet Molinar
10.3%
Draw
17%
Peña Deportiva
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 23.5% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 24.4% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotlet Molinar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotlet Molinar's form might have worsened.
  • Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotlet Molinar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotlet Molinar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rotlet Molinar - Peña Deportiva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.61
    (5.58)
    5.83
    (3.87)
    1.36
    (1.51)
    1.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
    • Rotlet Molinar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Peña Deportiva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rotlet Molinar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peña Deportiva is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rotlet Molinar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotlet Molinar - Peña Deportiva were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Peña Deportiva - Rotlet Molinar 2:1
    Latest results of Rotlet Molinar
    Latest results of Peña Deportiva
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B26213276:166066
    2Manacor26204256:272964
    3Pena Deportiva26176351:203157
    4Llosetense26137644:301446
    5Mercadal25124923:20340
    6Constancia25124937:231440
    7Inter Ibiza261141131:36-537
    8Formentera26811728:21735
    9Cardassar26971027:41-1434
    10Santanyi26951232:47-1532
    11Alcudia261021425:46-2132
    12Platges de Calvia26851328:32-429
    13Binissalem26781116:25-929
    14Son Cladera26841431:41-1028
    15Portmany26741518:35-1725
    16Felanitx264101223:37-1422
    17Collerense262101427:48-2116
    18Rotlet Molinar26361723:51-2815

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation