Castilleja vs Tomares – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Cazorla A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Castilleja
40.5%
Draw
32.4%
Tomares
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 32.6% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 33.2% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castilleja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castilleja's performance.
  • Tomares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomares might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castilleja that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Castilleja - Tomares Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.76)
    2.8
    (2.77)
    3.35
    (2.6)
    10.3%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Castilleja is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tomares's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Castilleja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castilleja won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castilleja - Tomares were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Tomares - Castilleja 0:0
    Latest results of Castilleja
    11.01.2026 Coria CF - Castilleja 1:1
    03.01.2026 Castilleja - Ceuta B 3:1
    20.12.2025 Córdoba B - Castilleja 0:2
    14.12.2025 Castilleja - Chiclana 1:1
    06.12.2025 Conil - Castilleja 2:2
    Latest results of Tomares
    11.01.2026 Cadiz CF B - Tomares 0:1
    07.01.2026 Ceuta B - Tomares 2:1
    04.01.2026 Tomares - Coria CF 5:0
    20.12.2025 Tomares - Ciudad de Lucena 0:0
    07.12.2025 Tomares - Bollullos 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad de Lucena27167452:203255
    2Dos Hermanas27154854:322249
    3Linense271112440:241645
    4Bollullos26129534:221245
    5Cadiz CF B27127842:311143
    6San Roque271011636:28841
    7Atletico Central27118828:25341
    8Conil27117933:34-140
    9Pozoblanco27109835:32339
    10Ceuta B27108929:34-538
    11Chiclana2799933:37-436
    12Atl. Onubense26871127:32-531
    13Sevilla FC C27941430:35-531
    14Cordoba B26771231:37-628
    15Tomares UD26771224:34-1028
    16CD Utrera26761331:42-1127
    17Castilleja CF26471520:52-3219
    18Coria C.F27371717:45-2816

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