Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WSL 2 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | WSL 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (453/556) | 71% (245/343) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (453/556) | 71% (245/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (91/144) | 75% (56/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Murphy A. ⚽,
- 38', Torpey K. 🟨,
- 38', Smith K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Omewa J. ↓, Claypole A. ↑,
- 59', Gregory F. ↓, Lumsden B. ↑,
- 72', Rowe R. ↓, Almqvist T. ↑,
- 75', Sevenius O. ↓, Larsson E. ↑,
- 75', Wardlaw C. ↓, Stokes D. ↑,
- 85', Gautrat M. ↓, Pike M. ↑,
- 85', Kelly E. ↓, Joel L. ↑,
- 86', Boye-Hlorkah C. ↓, Wellings C. ↑,
- 86', Kiernan L. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Nobbs J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Newcastle United
45.9% | Draw
26.6% | Nottingham Forest
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.14) |
3.44 ↑
(3.2) |
3.31 ↑
(3.1) |
9.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).
- Newcastle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nottingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Newcastle could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Nottingham Forest?
Newcastle United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Newcastle United?
Nottingham Forest has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
24.09.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Newcastle United
2:1
07.09.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Newcastle United
1:2
Latest results of Newcastle United
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
