Michael Geerts vs Robin Catry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Rennes Challenger Men Michael Geerts - Robin Catry
Result
2:1
10/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
118
Double Faults
05
1st Serve Percentage
64%73%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (38/47)74% (57/77)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (16/27)34% (10/29)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
26% (20/77)19% (9/47)
2nd Return Points Won
66% (19/29)41% (11/27)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
74% (54/73)63% (67/106)
Return Points Won
37% (39/106)26% (19/73)
Total Points Won
52% (93/179)48% (86/179)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Michael Geerts
64.2%
Robin Catry
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Robin Catry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robin Catry than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Michael Geerts - Robin Catry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.44)

    2.6
    (2.62)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Michael Geerts - Robin Catry?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Catry will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Geerts (votes: 1 - 50%). Catry (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Geerts is ranked ATP: 324. Catry is ranked ATP: 628.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Geerts could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Michael Geerts
    12.08.2025 Michael Geerts - Romain Faucon Geerts M. retired
    Latest results of Robin Catry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Kukushkin M.Couacaud E. (Q)0 : 2
    3Coulibaly E.Raquillet L. (Q)2 : 1
    4Paris T.Gueymard Wayenburg S. (6)0 : 2
    5Mayot H. (3)Bertrand R.2 : 0
    6Barrere G. (Alt)Jade D. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ursu V. (Alt)Chidekh C.0 : 2
    8Janvier M. (Q)Gerasimov E. (LL)2 : 0
    9Bouquier A. (8)Gengel M.2 : 1
    10Vylegzhanin N. (Q)Zahraj P.1 : 2
    11Kingsley C. (Q)Cuenin S. (WC)2 : 0
    12Martineau M.Droguet T. (4)1 : 2
    13Cina F. (7)Poullain L.2 : 0
    14Geerts M.Catry R. (LL)2 : 1
    15Malige M. (WC)Added D.0 : 2
    16De Schepper K. (Q)Wawrinka S. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Couacaud E. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Coulibaly E.Gueymard Wayenburg S. (6)2 : 0
    3Mayot H. (3)Barrere G.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Janvier M.2 : 1
    5Bouquier A. (8)Zahraj P.1 : 2
    6Kingsley C.Droguet T. (4)2 : 1
    7Cina F. (7)Geerts M.0 : 2
    8Added D.Wawrinka S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    2Mayot H. (3)Chidekh C.1 : 2
    3Zahraj P.Kingsley C.2 : 1
    4Geerts M.Wawrinka S. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Chidekh C.
    2Zahraj P.Wawrinka S. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2