Radu Mihai Papoe vs Jay Clarke – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Targu Mures Challenger Men Radu Mihai Papoe - Jay Clarke
Result
1:2
11/09/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
70%56%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (36/59)67% (33/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (12/25)46% (18/39)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
33% (16/49)39% (23/59)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (21/39)52% (13/25)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
57% (48/84)58% (51/88)
Return Points Won
42% (37/88)43% (36/84)
Total Points Won
49% (85/172)51% (87/172)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Radu Mihai Papoe
41%
Jay Clarke
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 56.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radu Mihai Papoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radu Mihai Papoe than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Radu Mihai Papoe - Jay Clarke Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.1)

    1.58
    (1.67)
    7.3%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Radu Mihai Papoe - Jay Clarke?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Clarke (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5 Games - Clarke (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Jay Clarke will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Papoe is ranked ATP: 620. Clarke is ranked ATP: 192.
    • Papoe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Clarke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Papoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Radu Mihai Papoe
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Zapata Miralles B.2 : 0
    2Brunold M.Martin D.2 : 0
    3Agamenone F.Alcala Gurri M.2 : 0
    4Lopez Morillo I. (Q)Rincon D. (6)0 : 2
    5Jianu F. C. (3)Compagnucci T.2 : 0
    6Damas M.Neuchrist M.1 : 2
    7Marti Pujolras A.Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Palosi S. (Q)Erhard M. (5)2 : 0
    9Poljicak M. (7)Ionel N. D.2 : 1
    10Boitan G. A.Tomescu D. A. (WC)2 : 0
    11Coman M. A. (WC)Cretu C. (Q)0 : 2
    12Demanet E. (Q)Alvarez Varona N. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    13Denolly C. (8)Andreescu S. A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Gima S. (WC)Picchione A.0 : 2
    15Papoe R. M. (Q)Campana Lee G.2 : 0
    16Nijboer R.Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Brunold M.2 : 0
    2Agamenone F.Rincon D. (6)2 : 1
    3Jianu F. C. (3)Neuchrist M.2 : 0
    4Marti Pujolras A.Palosi S.0 : 2
    5Poljicak M. (7)Boitan G. A.2 : 1
    6Cretu C.Demanet E.2 : 1
    7Denolly C. (8)Picchione A.0 : 2
    8Papoe R. M.Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C. (3)Palosi S.2 : 1
    3Poljicak M. (7)Cretu C.2 : 0
    4Picchione A.Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Jianu F. C. (3)2 : 0
    2Poljicak M. (7)Clarke J. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Poljicak M. (RET.) (7)1 : 0