Result
2:0
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Jimenez K. ⚽,
- 45+1', Celli A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Garritano L. ↓, Ba R. ↑,
- 52', Ba R. 🟨,
- 55', Casasola T. 🟨,
- 55', Emmausso M. 🟨,
- 64', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
- 65', Rolfini A. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
- 72', Allegretto A. ↓, Ierardi M. ↑,
- 73', Corbari A. ↓, Di Noia G. ↑,
- 73', Beretta G. ↓, Mazzulla A. ↑,
- 73', Ricciardi M. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Lunetta G. ⚽,
- 82', Jimenez K. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
- 86', Emmausso M. ↓, Rocco A. ↑,
- 86', Dametto P. ↓, Contiero L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Catania 54.1% | Draw 29% | Nuova Cosenza 17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Catania - Nuova Cosenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (1.75) |
3.15 ↓ (3.35) |
5.39 ↑ (4.57) |
9.5% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Catania - Nuova Cosenza?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Catania (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Catania will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 1.
- Catania is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Cosenza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Catania is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Catania will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Catania won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Catania won against Nuova Cosenza?
Catania has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Catania?
Nuova Cosenza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catania - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
14.09.2025
Nuova Cosenza
-
Catania
4:1
Latest results of Catania
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:21 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | Catania | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 49:18 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 57 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | Casertana | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Crotone | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 48:30 | 18 | 51 |
| 7 | Audace Cerignola | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 43:43 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Casarano | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 10 | Potenza | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 11 | Altamura | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 45:42 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 | Latina | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 | Cavese | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Sorrento | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 33 |
| 16 | Picerno | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 31:46 | -15 | 31 |
| 18 | Trapani | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 41:46 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 39:48 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Foggia | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25:54 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation