Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/09/2025 at  20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
 
                                                - Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports | 
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 | 
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 | 
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App | 
 Brazil | Paramount+ | 
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol | 
 Chile | DirecTV Sports | 
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 | 
 Indonesia | Mola TV | 
 Israel | Sport 3 | 
 Italy | Como TV | 
 Malaysia | Mola | 
 Mexico | Disney+ | 
 New-zealand | beIN Connect | 
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ | 
 Portugal | Sport TV6 | 
 Russia | Okko Sport | 
 South-america | DGO Latin America | 
 Spain | LaLiga+ | 
 Turkey | S Sport+ | 
 Uruguay | DSports 1 | 
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz | 
 Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, Inter | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.57 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 49% | 51% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 75% (317/421) | 76% (319/420) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.57 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.06 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 23 | 9 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 15 | 18 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 75% (317/421) | 76% (319/420) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 61% (46/75) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 60% (79/131) | 64% (77/120) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 21% (4/19) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.68 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 13 | 21 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 18 | 15 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 38% (5/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 46 | 65 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 35 | 11 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 14 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.20 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.20 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 5', 1 - 0, Assadi L. ⚽, Sepulveda M. (A), 
 - 23', Garces R. 🟨, 
 - 32', Sepulveda M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑, 
 - 38', Burlamaqui A. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 46', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Aquino P. ↑, 
 - 51', 2 - 0, Altamirano J. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A), 
 - 57', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑, 
 - 57', Pena S. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑, 
 - 58', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑, 
 - 63', Cantero A. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑, 
 - 64', 2 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Quevedo K. (A), 
 - 68', Guerra N. ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑, 
 - 68', Assadi L. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑, 
 - 68', Rodriguez S. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑, 
 - 72', Ramirez N. 🟨, 
 - 75', Zaldivia M. 🟨, 
 - 90+3', Enrique G. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Universidad de Chile  50.7% | Draw  28% | Alianza Lima  21.3% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Universidad de Chile - Alianza Lima Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.04 ↓ (3.2) | 
			   3.71 ↑ (3.25) | 
			   4.86 ↑ (2.19) | 
			   -3.5% (7.7%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            12 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
 - Recent form of Universidad de Chile has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - In recent matches, Alianza Lima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
 - Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
 - Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of away games.
  - Universidad de Chile is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
 - In the last 1 head-to-head match, Universidad de Chile won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
                            Universidad de Chile has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Universidad de Chile?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Lima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Alianza Lima were as follows:
                                                        
                                18.09.2025 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                - 
                                Universidad de Chile 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Universidad de Chile                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Lima