KeuPa vs Nokian Pyry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
18/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Mestis - Relegation - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2629
Shots off target
1412
Shooting PCT
7.69% (2/26)10.34% (3/29)
Blocked shots
910
Goalkeeper Saves
2624
Saves PCT
89.66% (26/29)92.31% (24/26)
Penalties
74
PIM
228
Power-play Goals
12
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
25% (1/4)28.57% (2/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
71.43% (5/7)75% (3/4)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 11:05, 0 - 1, Peltola S. (G), Kangasniemi E. (A), Hakanen S. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 04:06, 1 - 1, Tarvainen K. (G), Harjula J. (A), Tohila R. (A2)
  • 09:09, 1 - 2, Bilgili S. (G), Hakanen S. (A), Himmanen N. (A2)
  • 11:23, 1 - 3, Hakanen S. (G), Peltola S. (A), Ahvenlampi M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 17:45, 2 - 3, Hokkanen R. (G), Dobos M. B. (A), Nyman L. (A2)

Chances of winning


KeuPa
38.8%
Draw
22.6%
Nokian Pyry
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 21.6% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 24.8% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KeuPa's form might have worsened.
  • Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KeuPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nokian Pyry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • KeuPa - Nokian Pyry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.08)
    4.08
    (4.29)
    2.38
    (2.75)
    8.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • Pyry (Snowfall) leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:37. (average 3.6:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KeuPa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 4.4:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KeuPa - Nokian Pyry were as follows:
    14.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 6:5
    13.03.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 2:1
    11.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 2:1
    07.03.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 2:4
    06.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 3:4
    Latest results of KeuPa
    14.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 6:5
    13.03.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 2:1
    11.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 2:1
    07.03.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 2:4
    06.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 3:4
    Latest results of Nokian Pyry
    14.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 6:5
    13.03.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 2:1
    11.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 2:1
    07.03.2026 KeuPa - Nokian Pyry 2:4
    06.03.2026 Nokian Pyry - KeuPa 3:4
    Draw
    Relegation

    Semi-finals
    1PyryKeuPa4 : 2
    2ByeJarvenpaa

    Final
    1KeuPaJarvenpaa4 : 2