Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Iglesias F. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 1, Lecic L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
UD Ourense
54.9% | Draw
29.5% | Burgos Promesas
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Ourense's form might have worsened.Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.45) |
3.1 ↓
(3.61) |
5.85 ↓
(7.38) |
9.6%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).
- UD Ourense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Burgos Promesas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- UD Ourense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, UD Ourense is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that UD Ourense will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Burgos Promesas?
UD Ourense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos Promesas won against UD Ourense?
Burgos Promesas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas were as follows:
14.09.2025
Burgos Promesas
-
UD Ourense
1:1
Latest results of UD Ourense
Latest results of Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 43:17 | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Salamanca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | UD Ourense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:38 | -1 | 41 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Numancia | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 34:28 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Atl. Astorga | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 34 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 32 |
| 13 | Sarriana | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Langreo | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:31 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 43:49 | -6 | 29 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 28:44 | -16 | 25 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20:36 | -16 | 24 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20:60 | -40 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
