Jessika Ponchet vs Maria Lourdes Carle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Seoul Jessika Ponchet - Maria Lourdes Carle
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 01:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Seoul - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
47%62%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (19/28)53% (24/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)39% (11/28)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)45% (5/11)
1st Return Points Won
47% (21/45)32% (9/28)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (17/28)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
55% (6/11)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
61% (37/61)48% (35/73)
Return Points Won
52% (38/73)39% (24/61)
Total Points Won
56% (75/134)44% (59/134)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)40% (4/10)
Return Games Won
60% (6/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Jessika Ponchet
58.2%
Maria Lourdes Carle
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessika Ponchet's form might have worsened.
  • Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Lourdes Carle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessika Ponchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jessika Ponchet - Maria Lourdes Carle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.33)

    2.25
    (2.93)
    6.1%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jessika Ponchet - Maria Lourdes Carle?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponchet will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Carle will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponchet (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ponchet is ranked WTA: 167. Carle is ranked WTA: 122.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Carle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Jessika Ponchet
    Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Zakharova A. (LL)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    3Krejcikova B.Prozorova T. (Q)2 : 0
    4Cristian J.Raducanu E. (8)0 : 2
    5Tauson C. (3)Bye
    6Krueger A.Lys E.0 : 2
    7Joint M.Fruhvirtova L. (Q)2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Kenin S. (7)1 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (5)McNally C. (Q)2 : 1
    10Lamens S.Maria T.2 : 0
    11Siniakova K. (Q)Park S. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeKasatkina D. (4)
    13Haddad Maia B. (6)Back D. (WC)2 : 0
    14Ponchet J. (Q)Seidel E. (Q)1 : 2
    15Boisson L.Ku Y. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeAlexandrova E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    2Krejcikova B.Raducanu E. (8)2 : 1
    3Tauson C. (3)Lys E.2 : 0
    4Joint M.Kenin S. (7)2 : 0
    5Shnaider D. (5)Lamens S.0 : 2
    6Siniakova K.Kasatkina D. (4)2 : 0
    7Haddad Maia B. (6)Seidel E.1 : 2
    8Boisson L.Alexandrova E. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    2Tauson C. (3)Joint M.0 : 2
    3Lamens S.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    4Seidel E.Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Joint M.2 : 0
    2Siniakova K.Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Swiatek I. (1)Alexandrova E. (2)2 : 1