Vive Kielce vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
39:33
04/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
hungaryHungarySport 2
icelandIcelandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandEurosport 1

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vive Kielce
58.6%
Draw
10.4%
Sporting Lisbon
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 10.5% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 11.2% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vive Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vive Kielce that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vive Kielce - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.71)
    9.03
    (8.89)
    2.98
    (2.67)
    7.2%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 65.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Vive Kielce - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kielce will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 34:32.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kielce is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Sporting is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Kielce is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Kielce will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kielce won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:41.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vive Kielce - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    18.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Vive Kielce 41:37
    Latest results of Vive Kielce
    01.03.2026 Wisła Płock - Vive Kielce 32:31
    26.02.2026 Füchse Berlin - Vive Kielce 31:33
    19.02.2026 Vive Kielce - Veszprém 36:35
    14.02.2026 MMTS Kwidzyn - Vive Kielce 25:38
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    26.02.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Aalborg 35:33
    22.02.2026 Avanca - Sporting Lisbon 30:40
    19.02.2026 HBC Nantes - Sporting Lisbon 38:27
    14.02.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Póvoa 42:21
    EHF Champions League Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLPts
    1Fuchse Berlin141103470:43322
    2Aalborg141013457:40721
    3Kielce14815456:45117
    4Nantes14806456:41616
    5Veszprem14707471:44914
    6Sporting14707465:47614
    7Din. Bucuresti142012395:4304
    8Kolstad142012386:4944


    Group B
    PlWDLPts
    1Barcelona141301492:38226
    2SC Magdeburg141112457:40823
    3Wisla Plock14824424:41018
    4PSG14617446:43613
    5GOG14617443:46813
    6Szeged14518428:42411
    7Eurofarm Pelister142210369:4476
    8RK Zagreb141013375:4592

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