Fleury-Merogis vs Concarneau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Fleury-Merogis
46.2%
Draw
28.5%
Concarneau
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.6% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleury-Merogis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleury-Merogis than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Fleury-Merogis - Concarneau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.96)
    3.23
    (3.14)
    3.62
    (3.74)
    8.9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Fleury-Merogis is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Concarneau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fleury-Merogis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Concarneau has had a series of home games.
    • Fleury-Merogis could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fleury-Merogis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fleury-Merogis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fleury-Merogis - Concarneau were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Concarneau - Fleury-Merogis 0:1
    Latest results of Fleury-Merogis
    Latest results of Concarneau
    20.02.2026 Concarneau - Versailles 0:2
    12.02.2026 Quevilly - Concarneau 2:1
    06.02.2026 Concarneau - Aubagne 1:0
    16.01.2026 Concarneau - Caen 3:3
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dijon21119135:142142
    2Rouen21118230:151541
    3Sochaux21116433:151839
    4Orleans21104728:31-334
    5Versailles20103726:22433
    6Le Puy-en-Velay2187630:23731
    7Fleury-Merogis2087525:16931
    8Aubagne2077626:24228
    9Caen21511524:23126
    10Concarneau2068620:22-226
    11Villefranche21741021:29-825
    12Valenciennes21651022:30-823
    13Paris 13 Atl2158821:29-823
    14Chateauroux20310720:26-619
    15Quevilly Rouen20451117:28-1117
    16Bourg en Bresse21451215:30-1517
    17Stade Briochin20271119:35-1613

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation