Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 27
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (250/285) | 82% (187/227) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (250/285) | 82% (187/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 27% (9/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (92/114) | 73% (40/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Slimane A. ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Smith S. ⚽, Cleworth M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jurasek M. ↓, Springett T. ↑,
- 46', McLean K. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wrexham
42.9% | Draw
27.3% | Norwich City
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Wrexham - Norwich City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.05) |
3.43 ↓
(3.58) |
3.17 ↓
(3.43) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wrexham - Norwich City?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 3 - 60%). Norwich (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Norwich (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Norwich (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Wrexham will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Norwich (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Wrexham has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Norwich's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Norwich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Norwich has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L.
(Thigh Injury)
Hardie R.
(Knee Injury)
James A.
(Injury)
Lee E.
(Knee Injury)
Ward D.
(Elbow Injury)
- There will not play in Norwich: Crnac A.
(Knee Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Forson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Schlupp J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Wrexham: Moore K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Norwich: Duffy S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Norwich City?
Wrexham has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Wrexham?
Norwich City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Norwich City were as follows:
20.09.2025
Norwich City
-
Wrexham
2:3
Latest results of Wrexham
Latest results of Norwich City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry ✔ | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 93:45 | 48 | 92 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 77:47 | 30 | 81 |
| 3 | Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 62:49 | 13 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 22 | 13 | 10 | 70:45 | 25 | 79 |
| 5 | Southampton ✔ | 45 | 21 | 14 | 10 | 79:55 | 24 | 77 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 67:63 | 4 | 70 |
| 7 | Hull | 45 | 20 | 10 | 15 | 68:65 | 3 | 70 |
| 8 | Derby | 45 | 20 | 9 | 16 | 66:57 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 62:54 | 8 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 56:55 | 1 | 63 |
| 11 | Swansea | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 54:58 | -4 | 61 |
| 12 | Preston | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 54:59 | -5 | 60 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 45 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 59 |
| 14 | QPR | 45 | 16 | 10 | 19 | 61:70 | -9 | 58 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 64:65 | -1 | 57 |
| 16 | Watford | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 53:61 | -8 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 51:54 | -3 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 12 | 19 | 48:63 | -15 | 54 |
| 19 | Charlton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 43:55 | -12 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 42:55 | -13 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 47:56 | -9 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd ✔ | 45 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 45:57 | -12 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester ✔ | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57:68 | -11 | 43 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 45 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 27:88 | -61 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
Leicester is Relegated to League One
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
