Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (45/60) | 66% (39/59) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 47% (21/45) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (20/59) | 25% (15/60) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 58% (22/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (61/98) | 58% (60/104) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (44/104) | 38% (37/98) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (105/202) | 48% (97/202) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 25% (4/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 48% (15/31) |
Chances of winning
Tristan McCormick
58.5% | Luca Castagnola
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-2%)
Tristan McCormick - Luca Castagnola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.57) |
|
2.23 ↑
(2.19) |
8.1%
(9.4%) | |
Preview Facts
- McCormick is ranked ATP: 485. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 635.
- McCormick has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Castagnola has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Castagnola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Tristan McCormick won against Luca Castagnola?
Tristan McCormick has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Tristan McCormick?
Luca Castagnola has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tristan McCormick - Luca Castagnola were as follows:
Latest results of Tristan McCormick
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (RET.) (1) | Perez A. | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Papamalamis T. (JR) | Boulais J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ilagan A. | Dominko S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Zheng M. | Johns G. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Mejia N. (4) | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Rybakov A. | Bouzige M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Stearns P. (Q) | Masur D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bondioli F. | Martin A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Damm M. (7) | Kim A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Anthrop J. (WC) | Ghibaudo A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Brunclik P. (Alt) | Maloney P. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Sekulic P. (PR) | Trotter J. K. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Monday J. (5) | Blanch Dar. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Langmo C. | Banerjee S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Zink T. | Bernard A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Shelbayh A. | Cassone M. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Perez A. | Boulais J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ilagan A. | Zheng M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Jodar R. | Rybakov A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Masur D. | Martin A. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Damm M. (7) | Ghibaudo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Maloney P. | Trotter J. K. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Blanch Dar. | Banerjee S. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Zink T. | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Perez A. | Zheng M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Masur D. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Damm M. (7) | Trotter J. K. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Banerjee S. | Zink T. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zheng M. | Masur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Damm M. (7) | Banerjee S. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Zheng M. | Damm M. (7) | 2 : 1 |
