Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3 |
China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
Russia | TV Start |
Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Turkey | D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.62 | 0.78 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
84% (462/552) | 77% (257/335) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.62 | 0.78 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.88 | 0.70 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
84% (462/552) | 77% (257/335) |
Long passes |
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50% (22/44) | 45% (26/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (81/130) | 68% (59/87) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 8% (1/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.29 | 0.56 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (12/13) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.70 | 2.88 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.30 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Delgado P. ⚽, Letschert T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Marcao ↓, Erick Farias ↑,
- 46', Seo Myung-Guan ↓, Jung Seung-Hyun ↑,
- 46', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
- 54', Yang Shuai 🟨,
- 62', Baek In-Woo ↓, Lee Jin-Hyun ↑,
- 64', Yang Shuai ↓, Yuan Mincheng ↑,
- 64', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Gan Chao ↑,
- 66', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
- 72', Lee H. ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
- 72', Felipe Silva ↓, Tang Chuang ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Um Won-Sang ⚽,
- 77', Letschert T. ↓, Dong Y. ↑,
- 77', Romulo ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
- 83', Delgado P. 🟨,
- 90+3', Delgado P. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Heo Yool ⚽, Um Won-Sang (A),
Chances of winning
Ulsan HD 46.1% | Draw 25.7% | Chengdu Rongcheng 28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ulsan HD have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.06) |
3.69 ↓ (3.84) |
3.35 ↑ (3.26) |
5.7% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 47.5% – 89.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Ulsan (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Ulsan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chengdu Rongcheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ulsan is a strong favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Chengdu Rongcheng?
Ulsan HD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chengdu Rongcheng won against Ulsan HD?
Chengdu Rongcheng has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng were as follows:
Latest results of Ulsan HD
Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Buriram | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Ulsan HD | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Gangwon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Seoul | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Machida | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
9 | Johor DT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Melbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
12 | Shanghai Port | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Al Sharjah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Al Wahda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Al-Sadd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Al Shorta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Tractor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Al-Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 0 |
10 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Al-Duhail | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)