Result
2:1
15/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino - Qualification, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 79% | 71% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (36/63) | 57% (43/75) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 40% (12/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 63% (10/16) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (32/75) | 43% (27/63) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (18/30) | 71% (12/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 60% (6/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (41/80) | 52% (55/105) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (50/105) | 49% (39/80) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (91/185) | 51% (94/185) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 46% (6/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 52% (14/27) |
Chances of winning
Federica Urgesi
48.8% | Cristina Diaz Adrover
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Cristina Diaz Adrover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federica Urgesi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cristina Diaz Adrover than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cristina Diaz Adrover could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Federica Urgesi - Cristina Diaz Adrover Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.1) |
|
1.83 ↑
(1.68) |
7%
(7.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Federica Urgesi - Cristina Diaz Adrover?
Users Predictions:
Federica Urgesi will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Urgesi is ranked WTA: 398. Diaz Adrover is ranked WTA: 367.
- Urgesi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Diaz Adrover's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Diaz Adrover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Federica Urgesi won against Cristina Diaz Adrover?
Federica Urgesi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cristina Diaz Adrover won against Federica Urgesi?
Cristina Diaz Adrover has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Federica Urgesi - Cristina Diaz Adrover were as follows:
Latest results of Federica Urgesi
Latest results of Cristina Diaz Adrover
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sherif M. (1) | Naef C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gorgodze E. | Vandewinkel H. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Pieri T. (Q) | Curmi F. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Wuerth T. | Rus A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bejlek S. (3) | Brancaccio N. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | De Stefano S. (WC) | Zantedeschi A. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Werner C. (RET.) | Radivojevic L. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Trevisan M. | Kraus S. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Salkova D. (RET.) (7) | Ambrosio S. | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Rocchetti S. (WC) | Palicova B. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Basiletti N. (WC) | Rame A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Koevermans A. | Juvan K. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Zidansek T. (8) | Ruggeri J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | In-Albon Y. | Noha Akugue N. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Oliynykova O. | Urgesi F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Smith T. N. (Q) | Semenistaja D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sherif M. (1) | Gorgodze E. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Pieri T. | Rus A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Brancaccio N. | Zantedeschi A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Radivojevic L. | Kraus S. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ambrosio S. | Palicova B. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Rame A. | Koevermans A. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Zidansek T. (8) | In-Albon Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Oliynykova O. | Semenistaja D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gorgodze E. | Rus A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Brancaccio N. | Radivojevic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ambrosio S. | Rame A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Zidansek T. (8) | Oliynykova O. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rus A. (6) | Brancaccio N. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Ambrosio S. | Oliynykova O. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Brancaccio N. | Oliynykova O. | 0 : 2 |
