Ferro 2 vs Independiente 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Reserve League Ferro 2 - Independiente 2
Result
3:2
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 3 - 0, ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, ,
  • 70', 3 - 2, ,
  • 76', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ferro 2
31.4%
Draw
29%
Independiente 2
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 30.9% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 30.6% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro 2's performance.
  • Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ferro 2 - Independiente 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.54)
    3.3
    (2.93)
    2.41
    (2.08)
    4.6%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent form of Ferro 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Independiente 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ferro 2
    Latest results of Independiente 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano 21182123:91426
    2Boca Juniors 21172218:71123
    3Newells Old Boys 21161415:14119
    4Tigre 21153313:12118
    5Union de Santa Fe 21152416:16017
    6Huracan 21144315:10516
    7Barracas Central 21144310:11-116
    8Racing Club 21043313:16-315
    9Estudiantes L.P. 21134416:14213
    10Ind. Rivadavia 21034315:13213
    11Central Cordoba 21034313:13013
    12Colon Santa Fe 2112549:13-411
    13Argentinos Jrs 21023514:15-19
    14Defensa y Justicia 21123611:17-69
    15Aldosivi 2112279:13-48
    16Banfield 2112277:21-148


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central 21172218:10823
    2Instituto 21063116:61021
    3Atl. Tucuman 21062217:8920
    4River Plate 21155116:8820
    5Gimnasia L.P. 21154214:10419
    6Talleres Cordoba 21152411:9217
    7Sarmiento Junin 21143411:13-215
    8Independiente 21143411:15-415
    9Lanus 2104246:9-314
    10San Martin S.J. 21040610:14-412
    11Platense 2103349:13-412
    12Godoy Cruz 21131711:17-610
    13Velez Sarsfield 2111648:11-39
    14San Lorenzo 2102358:11-39
    15Ferro 21123610:20-109
    16Deportivo Riestra 21122710:15-58

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)