Ferro 2 vs Independiente 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 3 - 0, ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, ,
  • 70', 3 - 2, ,
  • 76', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ferro 2
31.4%
Draw
29%
Independiente 2
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 30.9% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 30.6% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro 2's performance.
  • Independiente 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ferro 2 - Independiente 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.54)
    3.3
    (2.93)
    2.41
    (2.08)
    4.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent form of Ferro 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Independiente 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ferro 2
    Latest results of Independiente 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tucuman 243106:3310
    2Gimnasia L.P. 242206:338
    3Racing Club 242118:537
    4Velez Sarsfield 242117:437
    5Talleres Cordoba 242116:517
    6San Lorenzo 242115:417
    7River Plate 242027:346
    8Rosario Central 241215:415
    9Union de Santa Fe 241214:405
    10Instituto 241214:405
    11Gimnasia Mendoza 241213:6-35
    12Argentinos Jrs 240403:304
    13Sarmiento Junin 241123:4-14
    14Aldosivi 241126:8-24
    15Godoy Cruz 241125:7-24
    16Tigre 241031:4-33
    17Barracas Central 241031:6-53
    18Banfield 240222:5-32


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 2431010:3710
    2Lanus 243109:4510
    3Independiente 2430111:479
    4Deportivo Riestra 243018:359
    5Huracan 242117:347
    6Quilmes 242112:117
    7Platense 242114:5-17
    8Newells Old Boys 242113:4-17
    9Atl. Rafaela 242028:626
    10Defensa y Justicia 242025:416
    11Estudiantes L.P. 241214:225
    12Ind. Rivadavia 241122:3-14
    13Ferro 241123:6-34
    14Central Cordoba 241124:9-54
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 240222:6-42
    16Belgrano 240222:7-52
    17Colon Santa Fe 240131:4-31
    18San Martin S.J. 240043:14-110

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)