Karolina Pliskova vs Polina Iatcenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Caldas Da Rainha Challenger Women Karolina Pliskova - Polina Iatcenko
Result
1:2
17/09/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
65
1st Serve Percentage
72%62%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (48/84)70% (45/64)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (14/32)38% (15/39)
Break Points Saved
65% (11/17)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
31% (20/64)44% (37/84)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (24/39)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)35% (6/17)
Service Points Won
53% (62/117)58% (60/103)
Return Points Won
42% (43/103)47% (55/117)
Total Points Won
48% (105/220)52% (115/220)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
63% (10/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)38% (6/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Karolina Pliskova
55.3%
Polina Iatcenko
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Pliskova's form might have worsened.
  • Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polina Iatcenko's recent form is better than expected.
  • Karolina Pliskova - Polina Iatcenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.55)

    2.08
    (2.38)
    7.7%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Karolina Pliskova - Polina Iatcenko?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Iatcenko will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Iatcenko (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pliskova is ranked WTA: 44. Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 267.
    • In recent matches, Iatcenko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Pliskova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Karolina Pliskova
    Latest results of Polina Iatcenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Marcinko P. (1)Tikhonova A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Murta I. (WC)Tan H.0 : 2
    3Cross K.Aksu A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Hesse A.Quevedo K. (5)0 : 2
    5Korneeva A. (3)Jamrichova R.1 : 2
    6Radwanska U. (Q)Dart H.0 : 2
    7Pliskova Ka. (WC)Andrianjafitrimo T.2 : 1
    8Iatcenko P.Jorge M. (6)2 : 0
    9Vedder E. (8)Sebov K.2 : 1
    10Knutson G.Guerrero Alvarez E. (Q)2 : 1
    11Glushko L.Dmitruk K.0 : 2
    12Belgraver J.Snigur D. (4)0 : 2
    13Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7)Ryser V.2 : 1
    14Diatchenko V.Lee C. Y.0 : 2
    15Kalieva E.Nozdrachova M. (WC)2 : 0
    16Santos A.F. (WC)Korpatsch T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Marcinko P. (1)Tan H.2 : 0
    2Aksu A.Quevedo K. (5)1 : 2
    3Jamrichova R.Dart H.2 : 1
    4Pliskova Ka.Iatcenko P.1 : 2
    5Vedder E. (8)Knutson G.1 : 2
    6Dmitruk K.Snigur D. (4)0 : 2
    7Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7)Lee C. Y.0 : 2
    8Kalieva E.Korpatsch T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Marcinko P. (RET.) (1)Quevedo K. (5)0 : 0
    2Jamrichova R. (RET.)Iatcenko P.0 : 0
    3Knutson G.Snigur D. (4)2 : 0
    4Lee C. Y.Korpatsch T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Quevedo K. (5)Iatcenko P.0 : 2
    2Knutson G.Lee C. Y.2 : 1

    Final
    1Iatcenko P.Knutson G.2 : 1