Ryan Peniston vs Lui Maxted – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Setubal Men Ryan Peniston - Lui Maxted
Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
73

Chances of winning


Ryan Peniston
71.1%
Lui Maxted
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Ryan Peniston - Lui Maxted Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.37)

    3.2
    (2.99)
    7.9%
    (6.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Peniston is ranked ATP: 253. Maxted is ranked ATP: 812.
    • Peniston is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Maxted's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maxted may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peniston is considered a favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ryan Peniston
    Latest results of Lui Maxted
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Maxted L.2 : 1
    2Fanselow S.Schoen P.2 : 0
    3Graca J.Marques D.2 : 0
    4Lopez Escribano A.Hernandez A. (5)1 : 2
    5Blanch D. (4)Cacao T.2 : 1
    6Rocha F.Valdoleiros G.2 : 0
    7Xilas I.Torres T.2 : 0
    8Gonzalez Fernandez M.Araujo P. (7)2 : 1
    9Thanos A. (6)Seeman J.2 : 0
    10Zhu M.Kravchenko G.1 : 2
    11Deckers A.Curras Abasolo T.2 : 0
    12Thomson C.Hussey G. (3)2 : 0
    13Barroso Campos A. (8)Luis T.2 : 1
    14Hernandez C.Izquierdo Luque R.0 : 2
    15Batista D.Aunion P.2 : 1
    16Forcano I.Searle H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Fanselow S.2 : 1
    2Graca J.Hernandez A. (5)0 : 2
    3Blanch D. (4)Rocha F.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Gonzalez Fernandez M.0 : 2
    5Thanos A. (6)Kravchenko G.2 : 0
    6Deckers A.Thomson C.2 : 0
    7Barroso Campos A. (8)Izquierdo Luque R.0 : 2
    8Batista D.Searle H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Hernandez A. (5)2 : 0
    2Blanch D. (4)Gonzalez Fernandez M.0 : 2
    3Thanos A. (6)Deckers A.1 : 2
    4Izquierdo Luque R.Searle H. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Gonzalez Fernandez M.1 : 2
    2Deckers A.Izquierdo Luque R.2 : 1

    Final
    1Gonzalez Fernandez M.Deckers A.1 : 2