Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Chengdu Mackenzie McDonald - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
58%59%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (32/46)65% (31/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (17/33)39% (13/33)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)40% (4/10)
1st Return Points Won
35% (17/48)30% (14/46)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (20/33)48% (16/33)
Break Points Converted
60% (6/10)50% (3/6)
Winners
159
Unforced Errors
127
Net Points Won
82% (9/11)71% (12/17)
Service Points Won
62% (49/79)54% (44/81)
Return Points Won
46% (37/81)38% (30/79)
Total Points Won
54% (86/160)46% (74/160)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)57% (8/14)
Return Games Won
43% (6/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
61% (17/28)39% (11/28)

Chances of winning


Mackenzie McDonald
57%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.63)

    2.16
    (2.09)
    7.5%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
  • Users Predictions: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked ATP: 98. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 158.
    • McDonald has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Budkov Kjaer is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
    Latest results of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Prizmic D. (NG)0 : 2
    3McDonald M. (Q)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4Basilashvili N. (Q)Harris B. (LL)2 : 0
    5Griekspoor T. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T. (Q)Wong C. (WC)2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Monfils G. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Misolic F.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)1 : 2
    9Sonego L. (8)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    10Giron M.Quinn E.2 : 0
    11Bergs Z.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Norrie C. (5)Zhou Y. (WC)1 : 2
    14Halys Q.O'Connell C.1 : 2
    15Thompson J.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    2McDonald M.Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (3)Daniel T.1 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)2 : 1
    5Sonego L. (8)Giron M.0 : 2
    6Shang J.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Zhou Y.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    8Tabilo A.Darderi L. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Basilashvili N.2 : 0
    2Daniel T.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    3Giron M.Nakashima B. (4)1 : 2
    4O'Connell C.Tabilo A.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tabilo A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (1)Tabilo A.1 : 2