Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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47% | 53% |
Total shots |
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8 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 2 |
Total shots |
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8 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 5', 0 - 1, Curado M. ⚽,
- 7', 0 - 2, Gori G. ⚽,
- 36', Hamlili Z. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 3, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
- 42', Milanese T. 🟨,
- 45', Mawete J. C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hamlili Z. ↓, Ghezzi S. ↑,
- 46', Del Sole F. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 46', Mawete J. C. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
- 46', Monaco S. ↓, Baldi L. ↑,
- 55', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 59', Marchesi F. ↓, Biondi K. ↑,
- 63', Cioffi A. 🟨,
- 63', Alagna M. 🟨,
- 72', Damiani S. ↓, Bando A. ↑,
- 72', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
- 72', Milanese T. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 85', Di Carmine S. ↓, Dionisi F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Livorno 14.9% | Draw 21.1% | Ascoli 64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Livorno's form might have worsened.Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ascoli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+17.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-24.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ascoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Livorno - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.92 ↑ (2.75) |
5.59 ↑ (3.1) |
1.84 ↓ (2.25) |
-15.1% (13.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 2.
- Livorno is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ascoli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ascoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Livorno won against Ascoli?
Livorno has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Livorno?
Ascoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livorno - Ascoli were as follows:
Latest results of Livorno
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arezzo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
2 | Ravenna | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 12 |
3 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 11 |
4 | Gubbio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 11 |
5 | Pineto | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Juventus U23 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Carpi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
8 | Campobasso | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
9 | Ternana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
10 | Guidonia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 7 |
11 | Vis Pesaro | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
12 | Pianese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
13 | Forli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Sambenedettese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Torres | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Pontedera | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
17 | Perugia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Livorno | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
19 | Bra | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
20 | Rimini | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation