Corentin Denolly vs Gerard Campana Lee – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Targu Mures 2 Challenger Men Corentin Denolly - Gerard Campana Lee
Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
56
Double Faults
68
1st Serve Percentage
62%51%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (54/75)66% (38/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (24/46)55% (30/55)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
34% (20/58)28% (21/75)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (25/55)48% (22/46)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
64% (78/121)60% (68/113)
Return Points Won
40% (45/113)36% (43/121)
Total Points Won
53% (123/234)47% (111/234)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Corentin Denolly
36%
Gerard Campana Lee
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Denolly's form might have worsened.
  • Gerard Campana Lee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gerard Campana Lee's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerard Campana Lee than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gerard Campana Lee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Corentin Denolly - Gerard Campana Lee Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.19)

    1.45
    (1.62)
    7.8%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Denolly is ranked ATP: 320. Campana Lee is ranked ATP: 593.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Campana Lee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Campana Lee might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Corentin Denolly
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Ovcharenko O.2 : 0
    2Uta D. (Q)Raynel A. (Q)0 : 2
    3Bentzel C. S. (WC)Boitan G. A.0 : 2
    4Roncadelli F.Alvarez Varona N. (7)0 : 2
    5Kuzmanov D. (3)Montes-De La Torre I.2 : 1
    6Tomescu D. A. (Q)Picchione A.0 : 2
    7Nijboer R.Damas M.0 : 2
    8Marti Pujolras A.Brunold M. (8)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (RET.) (6)Alcala Gurri M.0 : 1
    10Denolly C.Campana Lee G. (Q)2 : 1
    11Coman M. A. (WC)Gima S. (WC)0 : 2
    12Mrva M.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    13Jianu F. C. (5)Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    14Faurel T. (Q)Agamenone F.0 : 2
    15Zapata Miralles B.Loge J. (Q)1 : 2
    16Ionel N. D.Rincon D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Raynel A.2 : 0
    2Boitan G. A.Alvarez Varona N. (7)2 : 1
    3Kuzmanov D. (3)Picchione A.1 : 2
    4Damas M.Brunold M. (8)2 : 0
    5Alcala Gurri M.Denolly C.1 : 2
    6Gima S.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    7Jianu F. C. (5)Agamenone F.0 : 2
    8Loge J.Rincon D. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Boitan G. A.2 : 0
    2Picchione A. (RET.)Damas M.0 : 1
    3Denolly C.Erhard M. (4)0 : 2
    4Agamenone F.Rincon D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Erhard M. (4)Agamenone F.0 : 2

    Final
    1Clarke J. (1)Agamenone F.0 : 2