Red Bull Salzburg vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, TV8
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 5
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 4
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 24 Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.38
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
80% (292/364)86% (411/480)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.76
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1826
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
814
Passes
80% (292/364)86% (411/480)
Long passes
62% (33/53)55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
62% (60/97)70% (73/105)
Crosses
9% (1/11)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.10
Throw-ins
1120
Fouls
148
Tackles
43% (9/21)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.760.33
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Yeo M. K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Pepê , William Gomes ,
  • 53', Zaidu , Fernandes M. ,
  • 53', Veiga G. , Moura F. ,
  • 65', Ratkov P. , Vertessen Y. ,
  • 65', Baidoo E. , Kitano S. ,
  • 65', Yeo M. K. , Onisiwo K. ,
  • 65', Alajbegovic K. , Kjaergaard M. ,
  • 66', Varela A. , Mora R. ,
  • 77', Samu , Gul D. ,
  • 80', Rasmussen J. 🟨,
  • 83', Kjaergaard M. 🟨,
  • 86', Vertessen Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bidstrup M. , Gourna-Douath L. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, William Gomes , Fernandes M. (A),
  • 90+4', William Gomes 🟨,

Chances of winning


Red Bull Salzburg
21.2%
Draw
24.8%
Porto
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 26.5% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 26.7% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Salzburg's form might have worsened.
  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Red Bull Salzburg - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.52
    (3.13)
    3.88
    (3.62)
    1.78
    (2.23)
    4.2%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Porto?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH +1 - Porto (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Porto (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Porto (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Porto (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - Porto (1.54) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Salzburg (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Porto will win (98 of 106 users predict this - 92.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.42%97.48%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (50 of 54 users predict this - 92.59%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 68 high ROI users predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 1 - 1.5%). Porto (votes: 63 - 92.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 5.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Salzburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Porto is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Porto could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Salzburg: Bischoff C. (Red Card) Chase A. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Schuster J. (Illness) Sulzbacher V. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Injury) de Jong L. (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
    Latest results of Porto
    19.09.2025 Rio Ave - Porto 0:3
    13.09.2025 Porto - Nacional 1:0
    30.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:2
    24.08.2025 Porto - Casa Pia 4:0
    18.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2