UD Ourense vs Marino de Luanco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 73', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


UD Ourense
41.1%
Draw
29%
Marino de Luanco
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.9% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.
  • Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marino de Luanco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Ourense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marino de Luanco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.82)
    3.22
    (3.3)
    3.13
    (2.4)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Marino de Luanco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    17.08.2025 Arenteiro - UD Ourense 3:0
    10.08.2025 UD Ourense - Sarriana 5:0
    Latest results of Marino de Luanco
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oviedo B25157343:212252
    2Dep. Fabril25148341:162550
    3Gimnastica Segoviana24127528:22643
    4Coruxo FC25125833:25841
    5Salamanca25117733:27640
    6Numancia25116833:26739
    7UD Ourense25108726:26038
    8Real Avila25107835:38-337
    9Bergantinos2598829:27235
    10Marino de Luanco2489720:14633
    11Atl. Astorga25961028:30-233
    12Rayo Cantabria25514639:33629
    13Valladolid Promesas25771141:44-328
    14Sarriana25841330:33-328
    15Langreo25681121:30-926
    16Lealtad25561419:33-1421
    17Burgos CF B25491227:44-1721
    18UD Samano25261717:54-3712

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