West Coast vs North Otago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Heartland Championships West Coast - North Otago
Result
31:38
19/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Heartland Championships - Round 6

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Chances of winning


West Coast
81.2%
Draw
3.7%
North Otago
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 3.3% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 3.2% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in West Coast's performance.
  • North Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Otago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Coast than the current prediction. (-16%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with West Coast that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Otago than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Otago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • West Coast - North Otago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.13
    (1.44)
    25
    (28)
    6.05
    (2.81)
    9%
    (8.6%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • West Coast could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that West Coast will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, West Coast won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 115:113. (average 28.8:28.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, West Coast won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 96:73. (average 32:24.3).
    Latest results of West Coast
    05.09.2025 West Coast - Wairarapa Bush 14:24
    29.08.2025 Whanganui - West Coast 19:38
    22.08.2025 East Coast - West Coast 21:80
    15.08.2025 West Coast - King Country 38:18
    Latest results of North Otago
    12.09.2025 North Otago - Poverty Bay FRO
    05.09.2025 North Otago - Thames Valley 45:36
    29.08.2025 East Coast - North Otago 19:48
    22.08.2025 North Otago - Wairarapa Bush 29:56
    15.08.2025 Whanganui - North Otago 39:21
    Heartland Championships Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Mid Cant6600253:11829
    2Wairarapa6402240:18021
    3South Cant6402219:16521
    4Whanganui6402224:15820
    5North Otago6402240:21420
    6Poverty Bay6402182:17120
    7Thames Valley6303252:16018
    8West Coast6303227:14718
    9Horowhenua6303199:16917
    10King Country6105162:1918
    11Buller600697:3252
    12East Coast600679:3760

          Promotion ~ Heartland Championships (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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