Flota Świnoujście vs GKS Jastrzębie – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Cup Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie
Result
3:2 penalties
24/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tomal J. , Zielinski B. ,
  • 46', Gebala P. , Kakolewski I. ,
  • 51', Jakuc O. 🟨,
  • 66', Gil D. , Zmudz K. ,
  • 66', Trzaskowski A. , Kort K. ,
  • 78', Bykowski M. , Mozler L. ,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Kasperowicz K. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Baranowicz B. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 94', 1 - 2, Kakolewski I. ,
  • 100', Gromek W. , Bednorz K. ,
  • 104', 2 - 2, Turski H. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 3)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Flota Świnoujście
42.4%
Draw
30%
GKS Jastrzębie
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 28% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 25.7% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flota Świnoujście's performance.
  • GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Jastrzębie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Jastrzębie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.59)
    3.09
    (3.19)
    3.37
    (2.38)
    7.8%
    (12%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Flota will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). GKS Jastrzębie will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Flota is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • GKS Jastrzębie is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Flota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Flota will win today's game, with odds of 2.64.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of GKS Jastrzębie
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    2Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    3LegnicaBye
    4ByePogon Siedlce
    5Avia SwidnikBye
    6ByeRuch Chorzow
    7SwinoujscieBye
    8KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    9Gryf SlupskBye
    10ByePolonia Warszawa
    11S. RzeszowBye
    12ByeKorona Kielce
    13T. MazowieckiBye
    14ByeSlask Wroclaw
    15LKS LomzaBye
    16ByeOdra Opole
    17Legia IIBye
    18ByeGornik Zabrze
    19OzimekBye
    20ByePruszkow
    21LecznaBye
    22ByeCracovia
    23Korona Kielce IIBye
    24ByePiast Gliwice
    25SrodaBye
    26KS Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    27Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    28ByeWisla
    29Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    30ByeLechia Gdansk
    31Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    32ByePogon Szczecin
    33Legnica IIBye
    34Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    35Arka GdyniaBye
    36ByeMotor Lublin
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39WikielecBye
    40PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    41Radomiak RadomBye
    42ByeZaglebie
    43ZawiszaBye
    44ByeTychy
    45Termalica B-B.Bye
    46ByeWidzew Lodz
    47AndrychowBye
    48ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    49Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    50Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LKS LodzBye
    54ByeChrobry Glogow
    55Stal MielecBye
    56ByePuszcza

    1/32-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow0 : 1
    2LegnicaPogon Siedlce2 : 0
    3Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow3 : 1
    4SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie3 : 2
    5Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa1 : 0
    6S. RzeszowKorona Kielce0 : 1
    7T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw
    8LKS LomzaOdra Opole0 : 2
    9Legia IIGornik Zabrze0 : 3
    10OzimekPruszkow1 : 2
    11LecznaCracovia1 : 5
    12Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice0 : 1
    13SrodaOl. Grudziadz1 : 3
    14Bytom OdrzanskiWisla0 : 1
    15Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk0 : 1
    16Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    17Legnica IISwit Szczecin1 : 3
    18Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin1 : 0
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola3 : 1
    20WikielecPodbeskidzie2 : 1
    21Radomiak RadomZaglebie0 : 2
    22ZawiszaTychy2 : 0
    23Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz2 : 3
    24AndrychowChojniczanka0 : 3
    25Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom0 : 1
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock4 : 2
    27LKS LodzChrobry Glogow5 : 3
    28Stal MielecPuszcza1 : 2