Result
21/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Chances of winning
Tenerife
69.1% | Draw
20.6% | Ourense CF
10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ourense CF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tenerife - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.58) |
4.59 ↑
(3.45) |
8.85 ↑
(5.6) |
8.5%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Tenerife has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ourense CF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tenerife is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Tenerife won against Ourense CF?
Tenerife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Tenerife?
Ourense CF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Ourense CF were as follows:
Latest results of Tenerife
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Guadalajara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Arenteiro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Cacereno | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Arenas Getxo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | CF Talavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Osasuna B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Pontevedra | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Ponferradina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Real Madrid B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Merida AD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Ourense CF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Lugo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
