Result
4:2
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 7
- Referee: Gultekin O. F. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (252/343) | 82% (337/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (252/343) | 82% (337/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/69) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (58/96) | 74% (108/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Kaya G. ⚽, Vural G. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Rui Pedro ⚽, Bamgboye F. (A),
- 16', Saglam G. 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 1, Kaya G. ⚽, Vural G. (A),
- 43', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Durmushan U. ↓, Corekci K. ↑,
- 46', Sarka B. ↓, Temel S. ↑,
- 56', Bruno G. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
- 58', Massanga Matondo ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
- 60', 3 - 1, Engin A. ⚽, Kaya G. (A),
- 68', Rui Pedro 🟨,
- 70', Conte A. 🟥,
- 72', Engin A. ↓, Bekaroglu B. ↑,
- 73', Ozturk A. 🟨,
- 77', Rui Pedro ↓, Matur O. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Matur O. ⚽,
- 85', Asan S. ↓, Rotariu D. ↑,
- 85', Guctekin O. K. ↓, Guneren A. K. ↑,
- 86', Erdogan D. ↓, Akcan E. ↑,
- 87', Bolat S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Alici K. 🟨,
- 90+6', Aksoy E. 🟨,
- 90+8', 4 - 2, Koita F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Igdirspor
61.4% | Draw
21.5% | Hatayspor
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Igdirspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Igdirspor - Hatayspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.49) |
4.29 ↑
(4.1) |
5.53 ↓
(5.91) |
8.1%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Hatayspor?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Igdirspor: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Igdirspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hatayspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Igdirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Igdirspor is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Igdirspor: Kayatekin A.
(Inactive)
Ozturk Y.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Parmak A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Hodzic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Kilama G.
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Igdirspor won against Hatayspor?
Igdirspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Igdirspor?
Hatayspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Hatayspor were as follows:
Latest results of Igdirspor
Latest results of Hatayspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
