Cartagena vs Hércules – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Cartagena - Hércules
21/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainA Punt, Footballclub, LaLiga+

Chances of winning


Cartagena
45.7%
Draw
27.9%
Hércules
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 25.1% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.
  • Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cartagena - Hércules Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.58)
    3.35
    (3.45)
    3.38
    (5.6)
    8.3%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Cartagena is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hércules's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cartagena could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    Latest results of Cartagena
    31.08.2025 Antequera - Cartagena 0:0
    22.08.2025 Cartagena - Eldense 4:1
    12.08.2025 Melilla - Cartagena 0:0
    Latest results of Hércules
    12.09.2025 Hércules - Algeciras 0:1
    06.09.2025 Ibiza - Hércules 2:1
    30.08.2025 Hércules - Tarazona 1:0
    23.08.2025 UCAM Murcia - Hércules 2:3
    09.08.2025 Elche - Hércules 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CE Europa42207:438
    2UD Ibiza32105:327
    3Alcorcon42115:417
    4Sanluqueno31205:325
    5Atl. Madrid B41215:415
    6Sabadell31204:315
    7Marbella31203:215
    8Eldense31202:115
    9Villarreal B41215:505
    10Murcia41214:405
    11FC Cartagena SAD21103:214
    12Sevilla FC B31113:304
    13Algeciras41123:4-14
    14Torremolinos41123:4-14
    15Gimnastic41125:8-34
    16Hercules31022:3-13
    17Tarazona31022:3-13
    18Teruel30212:3-12
    19Betis B40222:5-32
    20Antequera30121:3-21

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation