Gent U23 vs Lierse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Gent U23 - Lierse
Result
0:0
25/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 7
  • Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.21
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
87% (530/608)81% (315/390)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.250.06
Total shots
137
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
3019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
159
Passes
87% (530/608)81% (315/390)
Long passes
62% (29/47)50% (22/44)
Passes in final third
71% (128/180)78% (56/72)
Crosses
28% (7/25)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.46
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
915
Tackles
78% (7/9)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4042
Clearances
2235
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.060.25
Goals prevented
0.060.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Ayinde A. 🟨,
  • 59', Van Meirvenne C. , Demuynck D. ,
  • 65', Soumah M. 🟨,
  • 73', Mukuna D. , Mazouz J. ,
  • 73', Gboua Y. , Mayoka-Tika N. ,
  • 73', Sy M. , Mertens J. ,
  • 75', Asselman W. 🟨,
  • 83', Mayoka-Tika N. 🟨,
  • 84', Mertens J. 🟨,
  • 84', Vydysh R. , Vanderdonck G. ,

Chances of winning


Gent U23
45.9%
Draw
26.9%
Lierse
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 26% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 25% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gent U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent U23's performance.
  • Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lierse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent U23 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lierse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gent U23 - Lierse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.52)
    3.45
    (3.54)
    3.39
    (2.46)
    7.7%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Gent U23 - Lierse?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gent U23 will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lierse will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gent U23: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gent U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gent U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
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