Stefan Latinovic vs Alexander Ritschard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Stefan Latinovic - Alexander Ritschard
Result
0:2
21/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
54%60%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (19/27)81% (22/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
26% (6/23)72% (13/18)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)100% (4/4)
1st Return Points Won
26% (7/27)37% (10/27)
2nd Return Points Won
28% (5/18)74% (17/23)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/4)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
50% (25/50)78% (35/45)
Return Points Won
22% (10/45)50% (25/50)
Total Points Won
37% (35/95)63% (60/95)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Stefan Latinovic
20.4%
Alexander Ritschard
79.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefan Latinovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefan Latinovic's form might have worsened.
  • Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Ritschard's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Latinovic than the current prediction. (+29.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefan Latinovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-29.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Ritschard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stefan Latinovic - Alexander Ritschard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.03
    (1.84)

    1.29
    (1.85)
    -2.4%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Latinovic is ranked ATP: 1226. Ritschard is ranked ATP: 330.
    • Latinovic is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ritschard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ritschard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ritschard is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Stefan Latinovic
    Latest results of Alexander Ritschard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2