Sumit Nagal vs Alexander Donski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Sumit Nagal - Alexander Donski
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
79%66%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (33/45)72% (31/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (7/12)32% (7/22)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
28% (12/43)33% (15/45)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (15/22)42% (5/12)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
70% (40/57)58% (38/65)
Return Points Won
42% (27/65)30% (17/57)
Total Points Won
55% (67/122)45% (55/122)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Sumit Nagal
79.1%
Alexander Donski
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.4% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumit Nagal's performance.
  • Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Donski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Sumit Nagal - Alexander Donski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.33)

    4.48
    (2.95)
    6.6%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Sumit Nagal - Alexander Donski?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nagal is ranked ATP: 290. Donski is ranked ATP: 723.
    • Recent performances by Nagal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Donski has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Donski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nagal is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Sumit Nagal
    Latest results of Alexander Donski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.