Stefano Travaglia vs Matej Dodig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig
Result
2:0
23/09/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
69%54%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (28/35)68% (25/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (10/16)38% (12/32)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
32% (12/37)26% (9/35)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (20/32)38% (6/16)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
74% (37/50)54% (37/69)
Return Points Won
46% (32/69)26% (13/50)
Total Points Won
58% (69/119)42% (50/119)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Stefano Travaglia
55.3%
Matej Dodig
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.57)

    2.09
    (2.25)
    6.9%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dodig will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Travaglia is ranked ATP: 232. Dodig is ranked ATP: 261.
    • Travaglia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dodig has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Travaglia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Stefano Travaglia
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2