Matej Dodig vs Stefano Travaglia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
21/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
75%54%
1st serve points won
52% (29/56)81% (29/36)
2nd serve points won
58% (11/19)65% (20/31)
Break Points Saved
8/113/5
1st return points won
19% (7/36)48% (27/56)
2nd return points won
35% (11/31)42% (8/19)
Break Points Converted
2/53/11
Winners
1420
Unforced errors
5126
Net points won
63% (5/8)100% (4/4)
Service Points Won
53% (40/75)73% (49/67)
Return Points Won
27% (18/67)47% (35/75)
Total Points Won
41% (58/142)59% (84/142)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
30
Service games won
70% (7/10)82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)30% (3/10)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Matej Dodig
41.6%
Stefano Travaglia
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.
  • Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Travaglia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Matej Dodig - Stefano Travaglia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (1.96)

    1.61
    (1.75)
    7.1%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Matej Dodig - Stefano Travaglia?
  • Users Predictions: Stefano Travaglia will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stefano Travaglia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dodig is ranked ATP: 214. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 161.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Travaglia will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dodig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matej Dodig - Stefano Travaglia were as follows:
    17.11.2025 Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig 2:1
    23.09.2025 Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig 2:0
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    Latest results of Stefano Travaglia
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Piros Z. (1)Dalla Valle E. (WC)0 : 2
    2Obradovic D. (Alt)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    3Krumich M.Sperle J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    5Travaglia S. (4)Poljicak M.2 : 0
    6Squire H.Palosi S. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    7Alcala Gurri M.Cerny M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Langmo C. (Q)Molcan A. (5)0 : 2
    9Neumayer L. (8)Nagal S.2 : 1
    10Fatic N.Pereira T.2 : 0
    11Pieri S. (Q)Michalski D.0 : 2
    12Kuzmanov D.Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    13Giustino L. (6)Forejtek J.0 : 2
    14Nedic A.Ivanisevic E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Simundza J. (WC)Perez Contri S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Sels J.Jacquet K. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dalla Valle E.Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    2Krumich M.Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    3Travaglia S. (4)Squire H.2 : 0
    4Alcala Gurri M.Molcan A. (5)1 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (8)Fatic N.2 : 1
    6Michalski D.Gea A. (3)0 : 2
    7Forejtek J.Nedic A.2 : 0
    8Perez Contri S.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ajdukovic D.Dodig M. (7)0 : 2
    2Travaglia S. (4)Molcan A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (8)Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    4Forejtek J.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M. (7)Travaglia S. (4)0 : 2
    2Gea A. (3)Jacquet K. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Travaglia S. (4)Gea A. (RET.) (3)0 : 0