Result
2:1
19/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Catarinense - Relegation Group - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Welligton Rocha 🟨,
- 14', Toty 🟨,
- 17', Keke 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Ruan ↓, Keven ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Iago Dias ⚽,
- 58', Arouca ↓, Tavares ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Erverson ⚽,
- 71', Erverson ↓, Thiago Tinoco ↑,
- 71', Luizinho ↓, Da Silva ↑,
- 71', Fernando Neto ↓, Rickson ↑,
- 75', Iago Dias ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
- 77', Willian Mococa ↓, Welves ↑,
- 77', Yago Zamora ↓, Gerson ↑,
- 83', Keven 🟨,
- 83', Felipe Para ↓, Klock J. ↑,
- 83', Gabriel Terra ↓, Erick Crispim ↑,
- 89', Tiago Santana 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Welves ⚽,
- 90+10', Welves 🟥,
- 90+10', Joao Victor 🟥,
- 90+11', 🟨,
- 90+11', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carlos Renaux
36.3% | Draw
30.6% | Joinville
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Renaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Renaux than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Carlos Renaux - Joinville Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.35) |
3
(3) |
2.77 ↓
(2.8) |
9%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carlos Renaux - Joinville?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Carlos Renaux (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlos Renaux (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Carlos Renaux has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Joinville has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carlos Renaux won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Carlos Renaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Renaux won against Joinville?
Carlos Renaux has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Carlos Renaux?
Joinville has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Renaux - Joinville were as follows:
13.02.2026
Joinville
-
Carlos Renaux
3:0
21.01.2026
Joinville
-
Carlos Renaux
0:1
01.10.2025
Carlos Renaux
-
Joinville
2:0
21.09.2025
Joinville
-
Carlos Renaux
4:2
Latest results of Carlos Renaux
Latest results of Joinville
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Concordia | Brusque | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Criciuma | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barra FC | Santa Catarina | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Camboriu | Avai | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Brusque | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Barra FC | Camboriu | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC | Barra FC | 1 : 3 |
