Daniel Milavsky vs Luca Castagnola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Las Vegas Challenger Men 2025 Daniel Milavsky - Luca Castagnola
Result
1:2
21/09/2025 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Las Vegas - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
143
Double Faults
83
1st Serve Percentage
56%56%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (39/50)76% (37/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (19/39)67% (26/39)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
24% (12/49)24% (12/50)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (13/39)51% (20/39)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
65% (57/88)72% (63/88)
Return Points Won
28% (25/88)35% (31/88)
Total Points Won
47% (82/176)53% (94/176)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)93% (14/15)
Return Games Won
7% (1/15)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Daniel Milavsky
71.7%
Luca Castagnola
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Milavsky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Milavsky's performance.
  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castagnola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Milavsky than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Daniel Milavsky - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.41)

    3.33
    (2.7)
    6.1%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Milavsky is ranked ATP: 442. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 637.
    • Milavsky has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castagnola is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Milavsky may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Milavsky might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Daniel Milavsky
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola