Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Fayetteville, AR, hard - Final
Chances of winning
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
53.7% | Keegan Smith
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes's performance.Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keegan Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keegan Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Keegan Smith Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.01) |
|
2.1 ↑
(1.74) |
2.7%
(7.4%) | |
Preview Facts
- Alvarez Valdes is ranked ATP: 598. Smith is ranked ATP: 591.
- Alvarez Valdes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Smith is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes won against Keegan Smith?
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keegan Smith won against Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes?
Keegan Smith has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Keegan Smith were as follows:
Latest results of Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Latest results of Keegan Smith
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Fenty A. (1) | Sanchez Martinez B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Magadan A. | Pougault A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Grant W. | Novansky M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Pampanin P. | Perot R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4) | Legout T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Hance K. | Kimhi O. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Quan R. | Kotzen A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Palovic L. | Baker B. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kirchheimer S. (6) | Zamora N. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Kudernatsch M. | Montsi K. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Sekachov G. | Shick B. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | D'Agostino S. | Smith K. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Pedrico Kravtsov A. (8) | Arcila A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Elicha Navas G. | Vrba J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Schachter N. | Eriksson S. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Fishback R. | Braswell M. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fenty A. (1) | Magadan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Novansky M. | Perot R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4) | Kimhi O. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kotzen A. | Baker B. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Zamora N. | Montsi K. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Shick B. | Smith K. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pedrico Kravtsov A. (8) | Vrba J. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Eriksson S. | Braswell M. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fenty A. (1) | Perot R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4) | Kotzen A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Montsi K. | Smith K. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Pedrico Kravtsov A. (8) | Eriksson S. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Perot R. (5) | Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Smith K. (3) | Eriksson S. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4) | Smith K. (3) | 2 : 1 |
