Arianne Hartono vs Lea Ma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jingshan Challenger Women Arianne Hartono - Lea Ma
Result
1:2
22/09/2025 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
83
Double Faults
115
1st Serve Percentage
43%64%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (27/37)69% (46/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (23/50)41% (15/37)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
31% (21/67)27% (10/37)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (22/37)54% (27/50)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
57% (50/87)59% (61/104)
Return Points Won
41% (43/104)43% (37/87)
Total Points Won
49% (93/191)51% (98/191)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Arianne Hartono
57%
Lea Ma
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arianne Hartono has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arianne Hartono than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Arianne Hartono - Lea Ma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.62)

    2.17
    (2.2)
    6.8%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Hartono is ranked WTA: 191. Ma is ranked WTA: 336.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Hartono may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Hartono could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Arianne Hartono
    Latest results of Lea Ma
    21.09.2025 Lea Ma - Ying Zhang 2:1
    20.09.2025 Lea Ma - Fang Ying Xun 2:0
    16.08.2025 Lulu Sun - Lea Ma 2:0
    01.08.2025 Lea Ma - Varvara Lepchenko 0:2
    31.07.2025 Clervie Ngounoue - Lea Ma Ma L. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Falei A.2 : 0
    2Yamaguchi M.Wong Hong Yi C.2 : 0
    3Reyngold E. (Q)Lu J.1 : 2
    4Bhatia R. (Q)Gao X. (5)2 : 1
    5Sun L. (3)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    6Wu R. X. (WC)Wang Y. (WC)2 : 1
    7You X.Pieri J. (RET.)0 : 0
    8Pridankina E.Hontama M. (6)2 : 1
    9Hartono A. (7)Ma L. (Q)1 : 2
    10Saigo R.Tian F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Inoue H.Yang Y. (WC)2 : 1
    12Ma Y.Burrage J. (4)2 : 0
    13Okamura K. (8)Zheng W.2 : 0
    14Monnet C.Liang E. S.1 : 2
    15Thandi K. K.Kulikova A.0 : 2
    16Wang M. (WC)Gibson T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Yamaguchi M.2 : 0
    2Lu J.Bhatia R.2 : 0
    3Sun L. (3)Wu R. X.2 : 0
    4You X.Pridankina E.0 : 2
    5Ma L.Saigo R.1 : 2
    6Inoue H.Ma Y.0 : 2
    7Okamura K. (8)Liang E. S.0 : 2
    8Kulikova A.Gibson T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Lu J.2 : 0
    2Sun L. (3)Pridankina E.2 : 0
    3Saigo R.Ma Y.0 : 2
    4Liang E. S.Gibson T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Sun L. (3)
    2Ma Y.Gibson T. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2