Renta Tokuda vs Quinn Vandecasteele – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Las Vegas Challenger Men Renta Tokuda - Quinn Vandecasteele
Result
1:2
22/09/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Las Vegas - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
113
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
70%59%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (44/74)78% (45/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)53% (21/40)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
22% (13/58)41% (30/74)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (19/40)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)42% (5/12)
Service Points Won
59% (62/105)67% (66/98)
Return Points Won
33% (32/98)41% (43/105)
Total Points Won
46% (94/203)54% (109/203)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
63% (10/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)38% (6/16)
Total Games Won
41% (13/32)59% (19/32)

Chances of winning


Renta Tokuda
50.5%
Quinn Vandecasteele
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Renta Tokuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renta Tokuda's form might have worsened.
  • Quinn Vandecasteele has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quinn Vandecasteele's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renta Tokuda than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renta Tokuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quinn Vandecasteele, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Renta Tokuda - Quinn Vandecasteele Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.52)

    1.94
    (2.27)
    4%
    (9.8%)
    What is the prediction for Renta Tokuda - Quinn Vandecasteele?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tokuda will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vandecasteele will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tokuda is ranked ATP: 395. Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 711.
    • Tokuda is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Vandecasteele is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Vandecasteele may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tokuda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Tokuda will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Renta Tokuda
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rodionov J. (1)Johns G. (WC)2 : 1
    2Rosenkranz M.Williams C. (WC)0 : 2
    3Shelbayh A.Perez A.2 : 0
    4Zink T.Mejia N. (5)1 : 2
    5Hassan B. (4)Winter E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Masur D. (Q)Martin A.0 : 2
    7Bicknell B. (PR)Maloney P.2 : 0
    8Fenty A. (Q)Monday J. (8)2 : 0
    9Krueger M. (7)Sekulic P. (PR)1 : 2
    10Fellin P. O. (Q)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    11Rybakov A.Cox T. (WC)2 : 0
    12Colson T.Trotter J. K. (3)0 : 2
    13Popko D. (6)Vandecasteele Q. (Q)2 : 0
    14King D. (Q)Ilagan A.0 : 2
    15Papamalamis T. (RET.) (JR)Bouzige M.1 : 0
    16Wallin O.Pinnington Jones J. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Rodionov J. (1)Williams C.2 : 0
    2Shelbayh A.Mejia N. (5)2 : 0
    3Hassan B. (4)Martin A.2 : 1
    4Bicknell B.Fenty A.1 : 2
    5Sekulic P.Fellin P. O.2 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Trotter J. K. (3)2 : 0
    7Popko D. (6)Ilagan A.0 : 2
    8Bouzige M.Wallin O.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Rodionov J. (1)Shelbayh A.1 : 2
    2Hassan B. (4)Fenty A.2 : 1
    3Sekulic P.Rybakov A.0 : 2
    4Ilagan A.Bouzige M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Shelbayh A.Hassan B. (4)2 : 0
    2Rybakov A.Ilagan A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Shelbayh A.Rybakov A.2 : 0