Result
0:2
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Martinez E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Doldan J. 🟨,
- 13', Alvarado V. 🟨,
- 16', Rangel J. 🟨,
- 25', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 26', Vazquez Hernandez A. 🟥,
- 42', Mascorro H. ↓, Santos E. ↑,
- 44', 0 - 1, Doldan J. ⚽, Pena R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alvarez K. 🟨,
- 55', Sanchez B. ↓, Gamboa J. ↑,
- 64', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 65', Carballo E. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
- 65', Bustos J. ↓, Andrey Marcos ↑,
- 65', Meza S. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
- 72', Doldan J. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
- 72', Rangel J. ↓, del Angel E. ↑,
- 84', Santos E. 🟨,
- 88', Cruz J. 🟨,
- 89', Nunez D. ↓, Pineda D. ↑,
- 90+2', Pineda D. 🟥,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Gamboa J. ⚽, Munoz G. (A),
- 90+7', Pucheta J. ↓, Lumbreras J. ↑,
- 90+7', Gamboa J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
29.3% | Draw
26.3% | Irapuato
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alebrijes de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Irapuato's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Irapuato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Irapuato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(2.59) |
3.57 ↓
(3.64) |
2.11 ↓
(2.37) |
6.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent form of Alebrijes de Oaxaca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Irapuato has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Irapuato will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Irapuato?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Irapuato has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Irapuato were as follows:
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
