Valencia vs Real Oviedo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Football Spanish LaLiga Valencia - Real Oviedo
Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.77
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (471/539)81% (337/415)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.931.47
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
87% (471/539)81% (337/415)
Long passes
53% (21/40)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
79% (110/140)65% (67/103)
Crosses
29% (6/21)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.96
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
1412
Tackles
71% (5/7)50% (9/18)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
2031
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.471.93
Goals prevented
-0.530.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Danjuma A. ⚽, Rioja L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 55', Almeida A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
  • 55', Guerra J. ↓, Pepelu ↑,
  • 55', Duro H. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
  • 56', Tarrega C. 🟨,
  • 61', Vinas F. 🟨,
  • 65', Brekalo J. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
  • 70', Reina A. 🟨,
  • 71', Ilic L. 🟨,
  • 75', Danjuma A. (Pen),
  • 76', Reina A. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
  • 76', Vinas F. ↓, Rondon S. ↑,
  • 78', Danjuma A. ↓, Raba D. ↑,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Ilic L. ⚽,
  • 86', Rioja L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Rondon S. ⚽, Ahijado L. (A),
  • 88', Hassan H. ↓, Costas D. ↑,
  • 90+3', Ilic L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Valencia
62.7%		Draw
23.9%		Real Oviedo
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 25.1% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.
  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
    •

    Valencia - Real Oviedo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.58 ↓
    (1.71)    		 4.3 ↑
    (3.73)    		 7.92 ↑
    (5.33)    		 -0.8%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Valencia - Real Oviedo?
  • Users Predictions: Valencia will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valencia will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • Valencia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Oviedo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Valencia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Vidal N. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Valencia
    23.09.2025 Espanyol - Valencia 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 2:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Barcelona - Valencia 6:0 ✺
    29.08.2025 Valencia - Getafe 3:0 ✺
    24.08.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    25.09.2025 Real Oviedo - Barcelona 1:3 ✺
    21.09.2025 Elche - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Getafe - Real Oviedo 2:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺
    24.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona971124:101422
    2Real Madrid870119:91021
    3Villarreal952216:10617
    4Atl. Madrid944116:10616
    5Betis944115:10516
    6Espanyol943213:11215
    7Elche935111:9214
    8Ath Bilbao94239:9014
    9Sevilla941416:14213
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna93157:9-210
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Mallorca922510:14-48
    16Valencia822410:14-48
    17Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    18R. Oviedo92074:16-126
    19Girona91356:19-136
    20Real Sociedad81257:12-55

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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