Yosuke Watanuki vs Nuno Borges – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Yosuke Watanuki - Nuno Borges
Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 23:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
103
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
56%73%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (29/47)70% (43/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (17/37)41% (9/22)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
33% (20/61)38% (18/47)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (13/22)54% (20/37)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
55% (46/84)62% (51/82)
Return Points Won
38% (31/82)45% (38/84)
Total Points Won
46% (77/166)54% (89/166)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
44% (11/25)56% (14/25)

Chances of winning


Yosuke Watanuki
43%
Nuno Borges
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 64.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.
  • Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuno Borges might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yosuke Watanuki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuno Borges could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yosuke Watanuki - Nuno Borges Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.5)

    1.73
    (1.5)
    3.1%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Yosuke Watanuki - Nuno Borges?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Borges will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watanuki: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Borges (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watanuki is ranked ATP: 150. Borges is ranked ATP: 51.
    • The current form of both players is below expectations.
    • Borges may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Borges might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    Latest results of Nuno Borges
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)