Casper Ruud vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Casper Ruud - Shintaro Mochizuki
Result
2:1
25/09/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
105
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
76%56%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (39/48)64% (28/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
27% (4/15)31% (11/35)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)54% (7/13)
1st Return Points Won
39% (17/44)23% (11/48)
2nd Return Points Won
69% (24/35)73% (11/15)
Break Points Converted
46% (6/13)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
68% (43/63)48% (38/79)
Return Points Won
52% (41/79)32% (20/63)
Total Points Won
59% (84/142)41% (58/142)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)50% (6/12)
Return Games Won
50% (6/12)17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
67% (16/24)33% (8/24)

Chances of winning


Casper Ruud
68.4%
Shintaro Mochizuki
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.2% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Casper Ruud - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.3)

    3.01
    (3.36)
    5.3%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Casper Ruud - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ruud (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ruud is ranked ATP: 12. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 105.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ruud is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Casper Ruud
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2