Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 69% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 82% (41/50) | 71% (60/85) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 44% (17/39) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 78% (7/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (26/85) | 18% (9/50) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (22/39) | 42% (13/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 100% (1/1) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 106% (18/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (59/81) | 62% (76/123) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (47/123) | 27% (22/81) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (106/204) | 48% (98/204) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 7% (1/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 48% (14/29) |
Chances of winning
Lorenzo Musetti
76.6% | Alejandro Tabilo
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Tabilo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Lorenzo Musetti - Alejandro Tabilo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.34) |
|
4 ↑
(3.34) |
5%
(4.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Alejandro Tabilo?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Tabilo will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 80.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Musetti (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Musetti is ranked ATP: 9. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 112.
- Musetti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tabilo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Musetti is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Alejandro Tabilo?
Lorenzo Musetti has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Tabilo won against Lorenzo Musetti?
Alejandro Tabilo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Alejandro Tabilo were as follows:
Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Prizmic D. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | McDonald M. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Harris B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Daniel T. (Q) | Wong C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Monfils G. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Sonego L. (8) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Giron M. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bergs Z. | Shang J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Nakashima B. (4) | |
| 13 | Norrie C. (5) | Zhou Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Halys Q. | O'Connell C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Thompson J. | Tabilo A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Prizmic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | McDonald M. | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Daniel T. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Sonego L. (8) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Shang J. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zhou Y. | O'Connell C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Tabilo A. | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Basilashvili N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Daniel T. | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Giron M. | Nakashima B. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. (4) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
