Tristan Schoolkate vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong
Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
198
Double Faults
66
1st Serve Percentage
54%58%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (48/64)77% (43/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (25/54)59% (24/41)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
23% (13/56)25% (16/64)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (17/41)54% (29/54)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)38% (3/8)
Winners
3934
Unforced Errors
2615
Net Points Won
314% (22/7)65% (15/23)
Service Points Won
62% (73/117)69% (67/97)
Return Points Won
31% (30/97)38% (44/117)
Total Points Won
48% (103/214)52% (111/214)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Tristan Schoolkate
34.5%
Jesper De Jong
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 60.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Schoolkate's form might have worsened.
  • Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.22)

    1.47
    (1.56)
    3.8%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 1 - 25%). De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 95. De Jong is ranked ATP: 80.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • De Jong could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Davidovich Fokina A.
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2